Alcalá de Guadaira vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CCF
2 - 1
AGU
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGU
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MON
2 - 4
AGU
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AGU
5 - 0
SOL
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 1
SOL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COR
3 - 0
SFE
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 1
CRD
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 2
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |