Alcalá de Guadaira vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
DHE
3 - 1
AGU
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
AGU
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 1
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CRD
1 - 1
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SFE
1 - 0
REC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
JER
2 - 0
SFE
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
DHE
3 - 0
SFE
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SFE
1 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
4 - 1
SFE
30%
29%
41%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |