CD Alcalá vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CDL
2 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
REC
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAD
0 - 0
ALC
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
CEU
22%
27%
51%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
SRQ
4 - 1
ALC
75%
15%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
REC
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEU
2 - 1
UTR
57%
24%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 1
XER
67%
18%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LEB
0 - 2
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 0
ALG
33%
25%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |