CD Alcalá vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
NIJ
1 - 1
ALC
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
ALC
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
NIJ
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANT
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
ARC
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
REC
40%
26%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
6%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |