CD Alcalá vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
AYA
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 3
ALC
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
CRD
0 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 1
ARC
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 4
ALC
21%
27%
52%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
CRD
2 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
ARC
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
DHE
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
POZ
1 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |