CD Alcalá vs Lebrijana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ECI
4 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 3
BET
18%
25%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALG
4 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAB
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 3
EST
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEB
1 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
LEB
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEB
2 - 3
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 2
LEB
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
LEB
2 - 0
XER
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | -1 |