CD Alcalá vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
AGU
28%
29%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 2
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |