Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 4-7
CD Alcalá vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
POZ
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAP
0 - 1
ALC
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
XER
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 2
ALC
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
OVI
0 - 1
CDO
60%
24%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDO
1 - 2
SPB
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 3
CDO
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RCF
3 - 1
CDO
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDO
0 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |