CD Alcalá vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ECI
4 - 0
ALC
56%
26%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
PUE
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CDL
1 - 1
ALC
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
30%
30%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BET
3 - 1
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
6 - 0
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 0
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
CAR
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
BAZ
1 - 4
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 0
MEL
47%
28%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |