CD Alcalá vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
XER
4 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
REC
2 - 0
ALC
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALG
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ADR
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
MEL
1 - 0
SEV
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
POR
0 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
CDR
2 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
MEL
1 - 0
XER
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MEL
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |