CD Alcalá vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
BET
1%
14%
85%
|
34 | 88 | 54 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALC
70%
20%
10%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
TAL
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CDZ
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAR
21%
26%
52%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 1
MUR
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
CDL
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
MEL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
LOR
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
TAL
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |