CD Alcalá vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
ALC
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAI
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ARC
3 - 1
ALC
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
POZ
55%
25%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
ALC
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
CRD
20%
25%
55%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |