CD Alcalá vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
BCA
1 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
ALC
1 - 1
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AMA
1 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ALC
1 - 0
AYA
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
SFE
2 - 1
SEV
35%
25%
39%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
POR
1 - 0
SFE
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
SFE
1 - 2
MEL
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
XER
1 - 1
SFE
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SFE
3 - 0
EST
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |