CD Alcalá vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CIS
2 - 0
ALC
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACF
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALC
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 2
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
REC
0 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAP
3 - 3
CON
37%
24%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
XER
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +4 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
CEU
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |