CD Alcalá vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 1
ALC
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
5 - 4
SRO
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
POZ
2 - 4
ALC
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
LAP
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
XER
1 - 2
ALC
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
SRQ
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ASJ
0 - 0
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
CAD
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SRO
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |