CD Alcalá vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALC
30%
28%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
ALC
17%
25%
59%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
0 - 0
ALC
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 1
CON
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
CAD
40%
26%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
CRD
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |