CD Alcalá vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
34%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CDB
1 - 3
ALC
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
TAL
36%
29%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALC
53%
26%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
BAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
CDL
39%
30%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CCF
0 - 1
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MER
0 - 2
SEV
32%
30%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
MER
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MER
0 - 0
CAR
40%
30%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |