CD Alcalá vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASJ
0 - 1
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 2
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALC
19%
24%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALG
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SRO
2 - 1
ALC
22%
23%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COR
4 - 1
AYA
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 3
ALG
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
AYA
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
MAI
28%
27%
45%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRD
2 - 1
AYA
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |