CD Alcalá vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
ALC
17%
24%
59%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 0
ARC
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALC
40%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
SAN
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 4
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |