CD Alcalá vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
SRO
0 - 3
ALC
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
REC
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 0
LEB
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ECI
4 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARC
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 1
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 2
ARC
43%
23%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SRO
1 - 3
ARC
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |