CD Alcalá vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CEU
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAD
3 - 1
ALC
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
SEV
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
REC
0 - 1
ALC
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 2
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SEV
6 - 2
ARC
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAB
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ASJ
1 - 0
ARC
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARC
3 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |