CD Alcalá vs CMD San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
CIS
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
LUC
28%
26%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
SAN
16%
23%
62%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CMD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ASJ
1 - 1
SAN
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
ASJ
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ASJ
2 - 0
ARC
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASJ
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |