Alcalá Atlético vs Puerto Serrano Atco. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FLO
0 - 0
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
5 - 2
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 1
ALC
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Serrano Atco.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
PUE
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAN
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FLO
1 - 1
PUE
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
5 - 2
JUV
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 2
PUE
15%
19%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |