Alcalá Atlético vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
5 - 0
ALC
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
JSA
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SIN
2 - 0
ALC
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 1
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
6 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FED
3 - 4
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FED
1 - 0
SIN
57%
21%
23%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CCF
2 - 1
FED
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 3
FED
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FED
1 - 1
CHI
24%
24%
53%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |