Alcains vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALC
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
CON
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
OLE
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 3
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |