Alcàsser vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
UDC
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 2
CAN
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
UDQ
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
UDC
0 - 0
UDQ
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
UDC
18%
26%
56%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
UDC
2 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 1
UDC
36%
27%
37%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 1
UBF
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |