Albuquerque Sol vs Boulder II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albuquerque Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
BOU
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COR
5 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALB
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TUC
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Boulder II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
BOU
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
4 - 1
BYU
54%
24%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALB
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 3
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 1
BOU
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |