Albuquerque Sol vs Boulder II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albuquerque Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COR
5 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALB
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TUC
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
3 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Boulder II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
4 - 1
BYU
54%
24%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALB
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 3
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 1
BOU
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |