Albocacer vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albocacer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALB
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
BEN
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 3
ALB
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
PEN
65%
18%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 1
ALB
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CIN
4 - 3
CHE
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 0
CIN
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JAN
0 - 0
CIN
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CIN
3 - 3
VIN
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CIN
3 - 0
TIR
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |