Albocacer vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albocacer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 1
ALB
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
7 - 0
CLU
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
CHE
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JAN
1 - 2
ALB
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
5 - 0
VIN
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 2
CHE
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
JAN
3 - 2
PEN
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIN
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 0
PEN
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
TIR
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |