4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Albirrojita de Catalunya B vs Congrés Club A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirrojita de Catalunya B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACA
28%
20%
53%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ACA
5 - 1
PBC
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GOR
1 - 2
ACA
32%
20%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ACA
3 - 1
CCE
41%
21%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CRA
3 - 2
ACA
62%
18%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Congrés Club A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
CCE
5 - 1
CCF
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AAA
0 - 3
CCE
8%
13%
79%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CCE
11 - 0
ESC
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ACA
3 - 1
CCE
41%
21%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CCE
1 - 0
PBC
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |