Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
20º
19º
24
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 65 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 63 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 63 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 63 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 61 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 59 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 57 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 56 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 55 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 51 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 48 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 47 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 47 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 43 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 43 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 42 |
18º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
19 | 38 |
19º
|
25% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 35 |
20º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 2
TOK
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FAG
2 - 1
ALB
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 1
URA
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 3
FCT
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 0
FCT
45%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SHO
0 - 1
YOK
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TOK
0 - 2
SHO
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SHO
0 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAM
4 - 0
SHO
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |