Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
YOK
1 - 7
ALB
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MON
1 - 2
ALB
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 2
KAW
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
ALB
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 1
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 0
SHO
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SHO
0 - 3
AVI
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
YOK
1 - 0
SHO
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SHO
2 - 1
SAG
14%
22%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MIT
1 - 2
SHO
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |