League Cup Japan Last 16
Global 4-3
Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
JUB
1 - 0
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VEG
2 - 0
ALB
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SHI
2 - 1
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 2
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
KAW
1 - 1
SHI
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SHI
1 - 0
URA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SHI
2 - 1
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
JUB
2 - 1
SHI
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SHI
0 - 0
YFM
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |