Albirex Niigata vs Saurcos Fukui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
CER
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KAA
0 - 1
ALB
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
YFM
3 - 2
ALB
59%
24%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
KAR
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Saurcos Fukui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SFJ
3 - 0
NUN
50%
23%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 0
SFJ
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 57 | 44 | 0 |