Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
VEG
1 - 0
ALB
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
KAR
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
YFM
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIS
6 - 3
ALB
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
ALB
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
YFM
2 - 1
SAG
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
VEN
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KAA
1 - 0
SAG
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 1
AVI
10%
22%
69%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GAM
3 - 1
SAG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |