Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 2
ALB
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
ROA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 2
ALB
21%
26%
52%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
TOK
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VVA
2 - 2
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
OIT
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 0
OIT
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OIT
3 - 0
GRU
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOK
2 - 2
OIT
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
OIT
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |