Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OMI
1 - 1
ALB
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 1
CON
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VEG
0 - 1
ALB
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OIT
2 - 2
URA
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KAW
1 - 1
OIT
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
FCT
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
OIT
1 - 0
JEF
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
KYO
0 - 4
OIT
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |