Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
YFM
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
YOK
0 - 2
ALB
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 1
FCT
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 3
SAG
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
JUB
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
OIT
1 - 0
JUB
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
OIT
1 - 3
NAG
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
OMI
1 - 2
OIT
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
JEF
1 - 3
OIT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
KAA
3 - 0
OIT
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |