Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SHI
2 - 4
ALB
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 2
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
URA
4 - 1
ALB
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 0
NAG
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VIS
3 - 4
ALB
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 0
OIT
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
OIT
1 - 0
SHI
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
OIT
1 - 4
URA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
OIT
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
YFM
2 - 1
OIT
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |