Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 3
ALB
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
VEN
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 0
SHO
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 2
ALB
62%
24%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 3
VEG
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
NAG
0 - 4
VIS
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NAG
0 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 1
NAG
51%
24%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SHI
1 - 2
NAG
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NAG
0 - 1
SAG
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |