Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
KAR
1 - 0
ALB
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 1
SHI
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
OMI
2 - 2
ALB
37%
29%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
VIS
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 2
ALB
21%
27%
51%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 2
GAM
41%
24%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
KAA
1 - 2
NAG
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 2
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
FCT
0 - 1
NAG
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 3
SAG
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |