Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 1
MAC
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
ALB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
URA
2 - 0
ALB
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 1
KYO
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 2
GAM
33%
25%
43%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 1
CON
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 1
VEG
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SHI
1 - 5
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 1
YFM
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
NAG
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |