Albirex Niigata vs Reilac Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 2
ALB
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
GAM
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 2
AVI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 0
ALB
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 1
YFM
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 2
MIO
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MIO
3 - 1
URA
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 1
AZU
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SON
0 - 0
MIO
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MIO
3 - 0
OSV
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |