Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 0
ALB
27%
27%
47%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 0
VEG
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ALB
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
OMI
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 0
MIT
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
VEN
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOC
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOK
3 - 2
MAC
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
MAC
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOK
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |