Albirex Niigata vs Kwansei Gakuin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALB
61%
23%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 0
AVI
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 0
ALB
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIS
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCT
31%
27%
43%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kwansei Gakuin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MIO
1 - 3
KGU
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NAR
3 - 2
KGU
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 55 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
6 - 0
KGU
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 62 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ZWE
1 - 0
KGU
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | -1 |