Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
15º
10º
34
10º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 2
AVI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 0
ALB
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 1
YFM
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 0
KAR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 0
ALB
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
KYO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 2
YFM
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
URA
3 - 1
GAM
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NAG
1 - 0
GAM
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |