Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 2
OIT
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ZWE
2 - 3
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
ALB
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 1
OMI
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 1
VEG
15%
22%
62%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
KAW
0 - 2
FCT
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
VIS
0 - 0
FCT
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 2
NAG
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 1
FCT
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |