Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 2
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAG
3 - 0
ALB
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 3
GAM
8%
16%
76%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
YFM
1 - 1
ALB
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FCT
0 - 1
URA
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
FCT
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 3
SAG
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 0
KAW
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
FCT
6 - 0
VEG
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |