Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 2
ALB
83%
12%
4%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
VEG
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
KAW
3 - 2
ALB
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
SHO
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 0
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FCT
0 - 1
KAR
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 1
FCT
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 2
FCT
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |